Triplet of Pairs Posterior Helper
Enter the rolls your assigned team has seen so far. Leave blanks for unrevealed rolls.
Ready.
| Roll | Value |
|---|
Information Panel
Posterior values are exact over all 2002 possible hidden d5 compositions.
Posterior E[A]
49.5
Observed Rolls
0 / 9
Observed Sum
0
Expected Remaining Roll
5.5
Best-Guess Hidden d5
[1, 2, 3, 4, 5]
Selected Pair Check
Enter AB, AC, and BC.
BUY/SELL guidance appears here.
Maintain a 1:1:-1 ratio in the displayed order: AB, AC, BC.
Team A Guide
AB + AC - BC = 2A
Your hidden event is A, so the market-implied A comes from the A-exposure basket.
If the market-implied A is much higher than E[A], sell AB and AC, and buy BC in equal size.
If the market-implied A is much lower than E[A], buy AB and AC, and sell BC in equal size.